This week I’m planning (schedule willing) to post my predictions for each of the major categories at this year’s Oscars. I’ll be weighing in on where each nominee stands and predicting who will take home the gold. Let’s start off with this year’s Best Supporting Actress race.
And the nominees are…
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Argentine-French actress Bejo may be The Artist director Michel Hazanavicius’s wife, but that doesn’t mean she didn’t give a great performance as Peppy Miller, the extra-turned-star in this year’s silent love letter to Hollywood. While her charisma and heart were enchanting and impressive in a physically expressive performance, the Artist spotlight belongs to Best Actor nominee Jean Dujardin, and if either of them gets Oscar gold this weekend, it’ll be him.
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Chastain broke onto the scene this past year as 2011’s It Girl. Starring in critical darlings The Tree of Life, Take Shelter, and The Help, Chastain’s star rose from “Who’s she?” to “Where can I see more of her?” status. I was blown away by her comical yet heart-breaking performance as The Help‘s social outcast Celia Foote. While I’m not sure she has a chance to win the gold, I’m definitely rooting for her this Sunday.
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Oh, Melissa McCarthy. I loved you on Gilmore Girls. I loved you in what I’ve seen of Samantha Who?, and I cheered when you won the Emmy for Mike and Molly, even though I’ve never watched the show. But I don’t want you to be nominated for an Oscar this year. Not for such an offensive and humiliating performance. Not for a film as grossly overrated as Bridesmaids. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Bridesmaids does not deserve Oscar attention. While I admire most of the cast, the film was basically a gross-out comedy a la The Hangover, only recast with women. Not only are extended diarrhea jokes and endless references to genitalia not original, but they’ve never been worthy of an Oscar nomination. Just because you put women in a gross-out comedy does not mean it’s good. And commending an actress for a role in such a comedy does not make the Academy rebellious or hip. If anyone from The Hangover had been nominated, I’m sure most people would object, no matter how hard they laughed when they saw it.
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
McTeer has received the second Oscar nomination of her career for her role alongside Glenn Close in the gender-bending period drama Albert Nobbs. I haven’t seen the film, although I hope to soon, but I can say quite confidently that McTeer is not a frontrunner for the Oscar gold.
And the Oscar goes to…
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Spencer, a character actress whose IMDb page cites countless television and film appearances, has finally found her place in Oscar history as Minny Jackson, a maid in 1960s Mississippi. Spencer brings humor and heart to her performance, and her Golden Globe and SAG Award wins point to Oscar gold for her come this Sunday. While I can’t argue that The Help‘s ensemble cast of women is full of fantastic performances, Spencer included, Jessica Chastain’s performance personally resonated with me more, so I’m rooting for her. Nevertheless, I don’t think there’s much doubt that Spencer will pull out a win at this weekend’s ceremony.